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Sydney Time
Copyright
© Ric Einstein 2008
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Good for Consumers but....
Many Australian readers may not realise that over 50% of the wine sold in
Australia today is sold through two retails chains: Coles and Woolworths own
just about every major bottle shop chain in the country including Dan Murphy’s,
Mac’s Liquor, Safeway, Liquorland, Vintage Cellars, First Estate, Porters, BWS,
and Theo’s.
A recent browse through my local (Woolworths) Mac’s Liquor store showed exactly
what happens when you have two major organisations controlling the lions share
of the market. The shelves were stacked with brands from the largest producers,
and the Fosters brands had basically all the “special” spots in the store. Let’s
face it, it’s far easier and more cost effective for a corporate operation to
deal with a few major producers and distributors. As they are also buying in
huge bulk, the mega retailers also have huge pricing leverage and the ability to
do deals that will certainly improve their bottom line.
When the mega retailers do deals and subsequently sell the wine on special, in
some cases the small independents are paying more for the product from the
producer than the special price offered by the mega retailers. That frequently
makes it hard to compete on the big name brands.
In terms of price, whilst the mega retailers do offer outstanding specials from
time to time, in many cases the rest of their prices are often substantially
higher than the independents and pub bottle stores. The profitability of alcohol
retailing for the two big grocers is huge and they will do what ever it takes to
protect their position.
In my local Mac’s Liquor Store, as well as the major brands on the shelf,
smaller producers from Coonawarra and Margaret River are also found; probably
because these are well known regions where people are looking for particular
styles and varieties.
The concentration of brand restriction will continue as the big two gain a
further stranglehold on the market and to make matters worse, as time goes on,
they will introduce more and more of their own brands. The major advantages of
home brands is simple, there can be no price comparison; they can switch and
change producers at will whilst wheeling and dealing to gain the greatest
possible profit as they go.
In Australia today, there are over 2,000 producers and I doubt there would be
more than about 100 of them represented in my local Woolworths bottle shop.
(Remember that the like of Fosters, Constellation, Lion Nathan etc have hundreds
of brands between them, many of which are on the shelves.) The top 10 producers
are responsible for over 90% of the countries wine volume, so the remaining
large number of smaller producers have a gigantic uphill struggle to sell their
wine and it is only going to get harder as time goes on.
Some of these small producers are responsible for making some of the most
exciting and diverse wines in the country, so it is critically important that
they survive and prosper.
The over US$20 a bottle Australian segment is heading into turbulence (that’s
the subject of a future story) which will make exports more difficult.
But there are other issues too. When we were in WA at Picardy, Dan Pannell told
us about the increasing cost of using distributors. It was not all that long ago
that distributors worked on a 25% mark-up and the distributors were also
responsible for providing samples. Now they are working on a 43% mark-up and the
wineries are expected to also supply sample stock. Distribution for the vast
majority of small producers is becoming increasingly more difficult and
expensive.
One solution that has worked very effectively for some wineries is to try and
move most of the wine themselves and try as much as possible to avoid
distributors. Wineries like Rockford and Kay Bros have been remarkably
successful with this approach, moving the majority of their inventory by direct
methods, and others are moving that way as they find it increasingly more
difficult to sell their wine via retail channels.
The latest winery to discover the difficulties of distribution in Australia is
Viking Wines. According to a fax from them, “Our wholesale price for our super
premium wines is $28-35 a bottle but resold by score/investment reseller at
$80-100 a bottle. Today, we believe the “scoring/investment” market is unstable.
We have therefore decided to offer our wines directly to mail order customers at
wholesale prices …. Grand Shiraz $35, Magnums $70, Grand Shiraz/Cab $28.”
This is good news for the consumer as they are saving about 35% on the previous
cost price but it does mean more work for the winery; they how have to deal with
many customers (rather than one wholesaler) to get the same price; but the
reality is the winery drops profit in this situation as they would have had some
previous sales to mail order customers at the old full retail price.
The specialist fine wine retailers do a great job of promoting the smaller and
fashionable boutique brands, but there are always restrictions on how many
brands and labels each store can carry. In many ways, they are the great hope
for the small players but they can’t service everyone.
Its tough out there for wineries trying to move their wine, and it will continue
to get even harder for some time. Some small producers will find it
unsustainable and finding a buyer in these tough times will be very difficult.
Copyright © Ric Einstein 2006
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